NOAA Revises 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast to Below‑Normal Activity

NOAA revised its 2026 Atlantic hurricane season outlook, now forecasting a below‑normal number of tropical storms and hurricanes, citing recent atmospheric and oceanic trends. The agency released the update through its official news release, marking a shift from earlier expectations of near‑average activity.

Climate Prediction Center contributed the seasonal outlook, highlighting reduced sea‑surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and enhanced wind shear as key factors limiting storm development. The center’s forecast predicts fewer than ten named storms, with only two or three reaching hurricane strength.

Emergency managers across the Gulf and Atlantic coasts are adjusting preparedness plans, emphasizing earlier public alerts and resource allocation based on the lower activity forecast. Insurers and agricultural stakeholders note potential cost savings but remain vigilant for any unexpected intensification.

National Hurricane Center will monitor the Atlantic basin from June 1 through November 30, issuing regular advisories and updating storm tracks as needed. The center stresses that even a below‑normal season can produce dangerous impacts, urging residents to maintain readiness throughout the official period.