IMD Issues Orange Alert as Monsoon Forecast Declines in India

IMD Issues Orange Alert: The Indian Meteorological Department issued an orange alert for the monsoon season, signaling increased risk of heavy rainfall and flooding in several vulnerable districts across the country, according to the agency’s latest bulletin.

Historic El Niño Probability: A Zee News report announced a 69% probability that a historic El Niño event could develop, a scenario that would likely shift global weather patterns, intensify droughts, and exacerbate water scarcity across India’s agricultural zones.

Skymet Lowers Monsoon Forecast: Skymet Analytics cut its monsoon rainfall estimate to 85% of the long‑term average, citing rising drought risk and a trend toward drier conditions, a move that could affect crop planning and water resource management.

43% Less Rain Impact: Outlook India highlighted that a 43% reduction in monsoon rainfall would sharply lower crop yields, strain irrigation systems, and reduce farmers’ income, raising concerns about food security and rural livelihoods across the nation.